{"id":57220,"date":"2018-06-18T09:52:24","date_gmt":"2018-06-18T07:52:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rezidential.net\/?p=57220"},"modified":"2018-06-18T09:52:24","modified_gmt":"2018-06-18T07:52:24","slug":"asociatia-dezvoltatorilor-imobiliari-avertizeaza-cod-galben-pe-piata-imobiliara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rezidential.net\/asociatia-dezvoltatorilor-imobiliari-avertizeaza-cod-galben-pe-piata-imobiliara\/","title":{"rendered":"Asociatia dezvoltatorilor imobiliari avertizeaza: Cod galben pe piata imobiliara"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><strong>Context actual:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Programul \u201dPrima Cas\u0103\u201d a intrat \u00een vizorul FMI.<\/strong> Fondul Monetar avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 programul reprezint\u0103 un risc la adresa stabilit\u0103\u0163ii sistemului bancar \u015fi recomand\u0103 \u00eencetinirea programului, precum \u015fi impunerea unei noi limit\u0103ri a gradului de \u00eendatorare;<\/li>\n<li><strong>BNR preg\u0103te\u0219te limitarea puternic\u0103 a gradului de \u00eendatorare<\/strong> a popula\u021biei incepand cu data de 1 iulie 2018, pentru creditele ipotecare \u0219i de consum, pentru prima dat\u0103 dup\u0103 aderarea la UE;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rata anual\u0103 a infla\u0163iei<\/strong>, care m\u0103soar\u0103 evolu\u0163ia pre\u0163urilor de consum \u00een ultimul an, a urcat \u00een luna mai 2018 la <strong>5,41%<\/strong>, cel mai \u00eenalt nivel din februarie 2013, c\u00e2nd a fost 5,65%, potrivit datelor publicate de Institutul Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103 (INS);<\/li>\n<li><strong>Pre\u021burile materialelor de constructie s-au scumpit cu peste 30%<\/strong>. \u00cen ultimele c\u00e2teva luni am v\u0103zut o cre\u0219tere dramatic\u0103 a pre\u021burilor pentru materialele de construc\u021bie de baz\u0103 precum cimentul, fierul beton sau chiar tabla. Toate acestea au un pret crescut cu peste 30%. Major\u0103ri similare se anun\u021b\u0103 de-a lungul tuturor tipurilor de materiale, de la finisaje, la instala\u021bii. Finisajele se vor scumpi cu aproximativ 20% iar instala\u021biile \u0219i celelalte tipuri de materiale cu 15-20%.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cresterea salariului minim a dus la o cre\u0219tere de 25-30% a costului for\u021bei de munc\u0103<\/strong>, iar m\u00e2na de lucru calificat\u0103 a devenit o raritate<\/li>\n<li><strong>ROBOR la 3 luni s-a triplat<\/strong> \u00een 2018 fa\u0163\u0103 de 2017. Indicele ROBOR la 3 luni pentru trimestrul II 2018 aferent creditelor de consum \u00een lei se calculeaz\u0103 ca medie aritmetic\u0103 a cotelor zilnice din luna martie, rezult\u00e2nd nivelul de 2,06%. Anul trecut, pentru aceea\u015fi perioad\u0103, indicele era de 0,83%, arat\u0103 datele BNR<\/li>\n<li><strong>Volatilitate curs leu-euro<\/strong>. Anali\u015ftii financiari cred c\u0103 volatilitatea leului va continua \u015fi chiar va fi dublat\u0103 \u015fi de o cre\u015ftere a dob\u00e2nzilor, mai exact un euro \u00een jur de 4,7 lei pentru final de an \u015fi majorarea dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 \u00een primul trimestru din 2018.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Instabilitatea politica<\/strong> se reflecta, din punct de vedere economic, in cresterea ratei inflatiei, in rata de schimb euro\/leu, in investitiile publice, in scaderea investitiilor straine. In piata imobiliara efectul este de multe ori acela de amanare a realizarii unor investitii de dezvoltare imobiliara saude cumparare a unei locuinte;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Recomandari catre Dezvoltatori:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Atentie sporita la initierea unor noi proiecte imobiliare<\/strong> si la criteriile fundamentale in luarea deciziei de achizitie: locatia proiectului imobiliar, calitatea produsului imobiliar destinat pietei, preturile din oferta de vanzare;<\/li>\n<li><strong>O calibrare a veniturilor si cheltuielilor pentru asigurarea cash flow-ului<\/strong> necesar in derularea proiectelor deja initiate si o atentie sporita la initierea unor noi proiecte care implica finantarea bancara a acestora;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sa ia in considerare situatia reala<\/strong> din piata si sa nu se raporteze la asteptarile din anii anteriori. Rezultatele din trecut nu sunt o garantie pentru viitor;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sa analizeze posibilitate efectuarii de reduceri de preturi<\/strong>, care sa asigure un cash flow constant si o expunere mai redusa la fluctuatii ale cererii, mai ales in perioada urmatoare de vara, in care vanzarile sunt statistic mult mai reduse.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Recomandari catre autoritatile publice si BNR:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>In luarea oricaror masuri privind piata imobiliara, trebuie sa se ia in considerare faptul ca <strong>proiectele imobiliare au o durata medie de 2-3 ani<\/strong> si orice masura fiscala, financiara sau de creditare poate afecta imediat proiectele in derulare si persoanele fizice cumparatoare;<\/li>\n<li>Sa adopte masuri de <strong>pastrare si mentinere a momentum-ului si trendului pozitiv din piata imobiliara<\/strong> prin adoptare unor masuri precum stabilirea unui TVA de 5% la toate locuintele noi si nu doar la prima achizitie.<\/li>\n<li>In privinta programului Prima Casa, ar trebui analizati toti factorii pozitivi si nu doar cei negativi sau financiari. In categoria factorilor pozitivi se incadreaza si cei economici, sociali si demografici si anume: maturizarea si dezvoltarea pietei imobiliare si a pietei constructiilor, stoparea migratiei tinerilor in afara tarii si readucerea romanilor din diaspora in conditiile unui deficit de forta de munca. In ciuda oricaror parerii adverse, acest produs de creditare are cea mai mica rata de default din istoria produselor de creditare din Romania.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Recomandari pentru clientii cumparatori :<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Sa aiba in vedere ca exista un <strong>risc de diminuare a posibilitatii de achizitie a unei locuinte<\/strong>, avand in vedere pozitia institutiilor financiare vis-a-vis de gradul de indatorare si de programul Prima Casa;<\/li>\n<li>Sa ia in cosiderare contextul actual, dar sa aiba in vedere faptul ca, anul 2018 se anunta un an cu o oferta foarte variata pentru achizitia unei locuinte si cu o piata imobiliara foarte concurentiala.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u201cASOCIA\u021aIA DEZVOLTATORILOR IMOBILIARI DIN ROM\u00c2NIA \u2013 URBANIS\u00a0\u201c (prescurtat ADIRU), este cea mai importanta asociatie de profil din Romania, fiind o asocia\u021bie independent\u0103, apolitic\u0103, nonguvernamental\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>ADIRU a participat in mod activ atat la intalnirile cu Guvernul Romaniei privind prelungirea programului Prima Casa pana in anul 2021, cat si la intalnirile cu reprezentantii Fondului Monetar International si ai Bancii Mondiale in legatura cu dezvoltarea si situatia pietei imobiliare din Romania.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Conform unui comunicat de presa emis de URBANIS, Asociatia Dezvoltatorilor Imobiliari din Romania, contextul actual urmeaza sa sufere niste schimbari semnificative care vor influenta si piata imobiliara.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3043],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.5 - 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